exityear lite

a free and private financial projection tool with a bit more oomph than others

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A FIRE calculator that includes taxes and debt

And why that matters

The one-formula problem

Most free FIRE calculators ask for four things: a starting balance, an annual contribution, a rate of return, and a retirement age. They run one compound-interest formula and hand you a single confident number. The trouble is that the number quietly assumes you pay no taxes, carry no debt, and live in a world without inflation.

That one formula is genuinely useful for a rough sense of scale. But real financial lives do not fit inside it. Three things in particular get flattened or dropped entirely, and each one bends the result so your future looks rosier than it is.

Why ignoring debt distorts the picture

A simple calculator counts the money flowing into your investments. It usually ignores the money flowing out to lenders.

If you have a mortgage, an auto loan, student loans, or a credit card balance, part of every paycheck is already committed. More importantly, debt is a negative number on your net worth, and a FIRE plan is really a net worth plan. A calculator that shows your investments climbing to $1,000,000 while saying nothing about the $280,000 mortgage and $30,000 in student loans still on your books is not telling you when you are free. It is telling you when one side of the ledger looks good.

Debt also changes shape over time. A loan amortizes. Early on, most of your payment is interest and the balance barely moves. Later, more of it goes to principal and the balance falls faster. A single annual formula cannot capture that curve. You need to walk the loan down payment by payment.

Exityear Lite models real debts directly. Mortgages, auto loans, student loans, and credit cards amortize and pay down over time, and their remaining balances are subtracted from your net worth as the projection runs. So the milestone it reports reflects what you actually own, not just what you have invested.

Why ignoring taxes distorts the picture

This is the big one, and the part simple calculators almost always skip. The money in your retirement accounts is not all yours. How much you keep depends on what kind of account it sits in and how it gets taxed on the way out.

  • Money in a Roth account, in an HSA, or in plain cash and savings, comes out tax-free.
  • Money in a traditional IRA, a 401(k), or a pension is taxed as income in full when you withdraw it.
  • Money in a brokerage account is taxed only on its gains, not on the money you originally put in.
  • Social Security gets favorable treatment, with a portion of it taxed rather than the whole amount.

Two people can both have $1,000,000 saved and end up with very different amounts to spend, purely because of where that million lives. A calculator that treats every dollar as equal overstates the spending power of anyone holding pre-tax retirement money, which is most people.

Taxes cut the other way too, in your favor, while you are still working. Contributing to a traditional IRA, a 401(k), an HSA, or a pension lowers your taxable income for that year, which lowers the tax you owe. A one-formula calculator misses that benefit entirely. An HSA is the only account that gets the deduction going in and is still tax-free coming out, which is why it is worth modeling separately from the rest.

Exityear Lite models this with real detail: federal income tax brackets, FICA, the Net Investment Income Tax, and state taxes, with a simpler flat-rate mode if you want a quicker estimate. Withdrawals are taxed according to the account they come from, using the rules above. Social Security is taxed on 85% of the benefit rather than 100%, the common maximum-taxability assumption. The result is a spending number that reflects what actually lands in your pocket.

Why ignoring inflation distorts the picture

Inflation is the quiet one. A calculator that grows your money at 8% and reports a future balance of $2,000,000 is showing you future dollars, which will buy noticeably less than today’s dollars. Left unadjusted, that inflated figure makes the goal look closer than it is.

What matters is that inflation is not ignored, and that it is applied consistently. Exityear Lite grows your income, expenses, and life events with inflation, and inflates your retirement withdrawals to match, while your investments compound at the nominal return you enter. Everything sits on the same nominal, future-dollar basis, so the pieces line up instead of quietly drifting apart. Per-account growth overrides use that same nominal basis.

What month-by-month modeling changes

Here is the core difference. Instead of collapsing your whole financial life into one formula, Exityear Lite simulates it one month at a time, all the way to your life expectancy. That sounds like a small technical choice. It changes the output in ways that matter.

  • Growth compounds monthly. The annual return is split across 12 months and applied to your running balance, so returns build on returns the way they do in reality, rather than being applied once a year.
  • Debts pay down on their real schedule. Each loan amortizes month by month, so the interest-heavy early years and principal-heavy later years both show up.
  • Life is allowed to change. Incomes can grow with raises and promotions, and start or stop at ages you choose. One-time and recurring events like a home purchase, an inheritance, tuition, or a wedding land in the months they happen instead of being averaged away.
  • Retirement can look different from today. Your retirement spending can differ from your current spending, and you can model geographic arbitrage: retire somewhere cheaper and your living costs scale to that city’s cost of living.
  • You decide what happens to spare money. Each month, leftover income can be saved to cash, invested in brokerage, split 50/50, used to pay down highest-rate debt or mortgage principal, or spent, and the projection follows that choice.
  • It tells you if the money runs out. If a plan hits a shortfall, the tool says so and roughly when, instead of quietly assuming everything works.

Put together, this is the difference between here is a number and here is how your actual net worth, after debt and after tax, moves through time, and here is the age you cross each FIRE milestone.

An honest word on precision

More detail does not mean certainty. Every projection depends on assumptions about returns, inflation, and tax rules that can and will change. Exityear Lite gives you a more realistic model, not a guarantee. Treat it as a well-informed estimate and a way to test decisions, not as financial advice.

Try it on your own situation

If you want to see how much your debt and your tax picture actually move your retirement date, put in your real numbers. It runs entirely in your browser, with no account and no tracking, and nothing you enter is ever sent to a server. It is free, with no ads and no affiliate links, because it is the surviving free engine from a fuller paid product that was retired.

Open Exityear Lite to start. To go deeper, see how Coast FIRE is calculated and the difference between FIRE, Coast FIRE, Lean FIRE, and Barista FIRE.

FAQ

Why do most free FIRE calculators leave out taxes and debt?
Mostly because it is simpler. One compound-interest formula is easy to build and explain. Modeling amortizing loans and account-specific tax treatment takes a real engine that steps through time, which is what Exityear Lite does.

Does including taxes make my FIRE date later?
Usually yes, if a lot of your savings sits in pre-tax accounts like a traditional IRA, a 401(k), or a pension, because those withdrawals are taxed as income. It can also reveal benefits, since pre-tax contributions lower the tax you owe while working. The point is to see the real trade-off.

How does the tool handle different account types?
Roth, HSA, and cash come out tax-free; traditional IRA, 401(k), and pension are taxed in full; and brokerage is taxed only on its gains. Contributions to a traditional IRA, 401(k), HSA, or pension reduce that year’s taxable income.

Is my financial data safe if it is a free browser tool?
Yes. Everything runs locally in your browser. There is no account, no sign-up, and no server call, so your numbers never leave your device. There is also no tracking, no ads, and no affiliate links.

Is this financial advice?
No. It is a projection tool that models your inputs under assumptions you can adjust. It is meant to help you compare scenarios, not to replace advice from a professional who knows your full situation.